New Poll Shows Tight Race Between Harris, Trump In Key Swing States

Democratic presidential nominee, U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris and Republican presidential nominee former President Donald Trump Debate

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Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump are statistically deadlocked in the seven swing states, according to a new Washington Post-Schar School poll released on Monday (October 21).

Harris and Trump are reported to be splitting battleground states and polling within the margin of error. Trump currently leads in Arizona (49% to 46%) and North Carolina (50% to 47%); Harris leads in Georgia (51% to 47%), Michigan (49% to 47%), Pennsylvania (49% to 47%) and Wisconsin (50% to 47%); and both candidates are tied in Nevada at 48% among likely voters. Harris is also reported to lead in Georgia (50% to 44%), Nevada (47% to 44%), Pennsylvania (49% to 46%) and Wisconsin (50% to 46%), while Trump has the advantage in Arizona (50% to 44%), Michigan (47% to 46%) and North Carolina (49% to 45) among registered voters.

The margin of error for the swing state poll results ranged from plus-or-minus 3.9 to 5 percentage points. Harris is also reported to have a 49% to 48% edge over Trump nationally, which has a margin of error of 1.7 percentage points.

The poll was conducted from September 30 to October 15 and included 5,016 registered voters surveyed. The 2024 presidential election will be held on Tuesday, November 5, 2024.


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